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The probability of drawing exactly 1 copy is not the same as drawing at least 1 copy, because the latter includes the cases of drawing 2, 3, or more

So, lets start there

Cards with amass 1 are at their best when theyre adding another body to the board, not when theyre adding a +1/+1 counter, so sacrificing armies to keep the sac fodder coming is your best bet

He's a phenomenal sacrifice outlet, has discard synergy, proliferates on demand, distributes -1/-1 counters and therefore acts as removal, and even has protection from Humans as a built-in safety valve from the most popular creature type in Magic.

Wizards of the Coast describes Collector Boosters as a Shortcut to the coolest cards in their product guide